Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.027696 0.032260 0.037289 0.043233 0.050060 0.057647 0.066711
2025-10-05 0.021781 0.027955 0.035384 0.044950 0.056910 0.071333 0.090010
2025-10-12 0.017569 0.024543 0.033599 0.046152 0.063020 0.084812 0.114994
2025-10-19 0.013703 0.020667 0.030356 0.044698 0.065241 0.093429 0.134826
2025-10-26 0.011161 0.018036 0.028210 0.044175 0.068368 0.103365 0.157445
2025-11-02 0.009040 0.015577 0.025815 0.042766 0.069805 0.110832 0.177201
2025-11-09 0.007477 0.013672 0.023900 0.041687 0.071420 0.118530 0.197951
2025-11-16 0.006422 0.012406 0.022772 0.041630 0.074518 0.128704 0.223508
2025-11-23 0.005405 0.011010 0.021182 0.040500 0.075584 0.135568 0.244254
2025-11-30 0.004970 0.010612 0.021282 0.042329 0.081931 0.151860 0.282480
2025-12-07 0.004378 0.009801 0.020482 0.042357 0.084979 0.162666 0.312153
2025-12-14 0.003731 0.008756 0.019066 0.040986 0.085197 0.168335 0.333053
2025-12-21 0.003252 0.007997 0.018132 0.040484 0.087113 0.177500 0.361718
2025-12-28 0.003079 0.007891 0.018544 0.042808 0.094946 0.198728 0.415524
2026-01-04 0.002856 0.007629 0.018578 0.044326 0.101298 0.217705 0.466828
2026-01-11 0.002468 0.006895 0.017442 0.043108 0.101695 0.224762 0.494962
2026-01-18 0.002186 0.006371 0.016709 0.042693 0.103768 0.235435 0.531505
2026-01-25 0.001891 0.005755 0.015658 0.041373 0.103627 0.241376 0.558628
2026-02-01 0.001652 0.005245 0.014783 0.040349 0.104024 0.248481 0.588875
2026-02-08 0.001490 0.004918 0.014330 0.040304 0.106719 0.260902 0.631941
2026-02-15 0.001303 0.004483 0.013516 0.039214 0.106723 0.267196 0.661780
2026-02-22 0.001248 0.004440 0.013772 0.040991 0.114104 0.291300 0.734742
2026-03-01 0.001134 0.004190 0.013404 0.041019 0.117006 0.305067 0.784728